Market Resolution

Overview

Market resolution is the step where the correct outcome is determined once a market has closed. In many prediction platforms, this process depends on centralized operators or token-holder votes, which can lead to delays, bias, and manipulation by large stakeholders.

Predictum solves this with AI-powered, automated resolution that sources information from multiple trusted and independent data feeds. The process is fast, impartial, and resistant to interference.

How It Works

1. Market Closes Each market has a fixed closing date set during creation. When this date is reached, trading stops immediately, and no new shares can be bought or sold.

2. AI Data Collection Our AI system scans multiple pre-defined, verifiable data sources relevant to the market’s question. These sources are declared in the market’s description before trading begins, ensuring everyone knows where the result will come from.

3. Public Thought Process The AI’s reasoning process — including data fetched, comparisons made, and the final conclusion — is displayed in a public terminal accessible to anyone. This allows traders and observers to review exactly how the AI reached its decision.

4. Blockchain Anchoring Once the outcome is determined, the AI’s decision and full reasoning log are pushed to the blockchain. This makes the resolution immutable and verifiable by anyone, eliminating the risk of tampering after the fact.

5. Outcome Determination

   • If the AI finds a match between the event result and one of the two possible outcomes, that outcome is marked as the winner.

   • If the event result does not match either outcome, the market is declared Invalid, and traders receive refunds based on the closing price of their shares.

6. Payouts

   • Winning shares become worth 1 unit of the settlement token.

   • Losing shares are worth 0.

   • Refunds for Invalid markets are processed automatically.

Why This Matters

• Full Transparency – Everyone can see the AI’s decision-making process in real time.

• Immutable Results – Pushing the resolution to the blockchain ensures no post-resolution tampering.

• No Centralized Control – No human arbitration or whale influence on results.

• Speed – Markets resolve quickly after closing, with immediate payouts.

Predictum's resolution process combines automation, transparency, and blockchain security to deliver a prediction market where outcomes are fair, verifiable, and beyond manipulation.